Ast Spacemobile Stock Performance

ASTS Stock  USD 111.21  10.88  8.91%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ast Spacemobile holds a performance score of 10. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.68, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Ast Spacemobile's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Ast Spacemobile is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Ast Spacemobile's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Ast Spacemobile's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ast Spacemobile are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, Ast Spacemobile unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow88.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-174.1 M

Ast Spacemobile Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  7,115  in Ast Spacemobile on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  4,006  from holding Ast Spacemobile or generate 56.3% return on investment over 90 days. Ast Spacemobile is currently generating 0.9866% in daily expected returns and assumes 7.3748% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 66% of stocks are less volatile than Ast, and 81% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ast Spacemobile is expected to generate 9.95 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 9.95 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Ast Spacemobile Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 111.21 90 days 111.21 
about 5.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ast Spacemobile to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 5.78 (This Ast Spacemobile probability density function shows the probability of Ast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ast Spacemobile has a beta of 0.68. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ast Spacemobile average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ast Spacemobile will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ast Spacemobile has an alpha of 0.9527, implying that it can generate a 0.95 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ast Spacemobile Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ast Spacemobile

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ast Spacemobile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ast Spacemobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
90.8798.24122.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
81.2388.60122.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
104.90112.28119.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
70.5299.82129.13
Details

Ast Spacemobile Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ast Spacemobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ast Spacemobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ast Spacemobile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ast Spacemobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.95
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
20.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Ast Spacemobile Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ast Spacemobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ast Spacemobile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ast Spacemobile is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ast Spacemobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (526.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.73 M.
Ast Spacemobile currently holds about 202.37 M in cash with (126.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.81.
Ast Spacemobile has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Ast Spacemobile Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ast Spacemobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ast Spacemobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding154.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments565 M

Ast Spacemobile Fundamentals Growth

Ast Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ast Spacemobile, and Ast Spacemobile fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ast Stock performance.

About Ast Spacemobile Performance

Assessing Ast Spacemobile's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Ast Spacemobile's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Ast Spacemobile is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. operates space-based cellular broadband network for mobile phones. Its SpaceMobile service provides mobile broadband services for users traveling in and out of areas without terrestrial mobile services on land, at sea, or in flight. Ast Spacemobile operates under Telecom Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 386 people.

Things to note about Ast Spacemobile performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ast Spacemobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ast Spacemobile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ast Spacemobile is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Ast Spacemobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.42 M. Net Loss for the year was (526.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.73 M.
Ast Spacemobile currently holds about 202.37 M in cash with (126.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.81.
Ast Spacemobile has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating Ast Spacemobile's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ast Spacemobile's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ast Spacemobile's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ast Spacemobile's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ast Spacemobile's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ast Spacemobile's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ast Spacemobile's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ast Spacemobile's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ast Spacemobile's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ast Spacemobile's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ast Spacemobile's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Ast Stock Analysis

When running Ast Spacemobile's price analysis, check to measure Ast Spacemobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ast Spacemobile is operating at the current time. Most of Ast Spacemobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ast Spacemobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ast Spacemobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ast Spacemobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.